BTC
BTC
● Active since Aug 2026
ETH
ETH
● Active since Aug 2026
BNB
BNB
● Active since Aug 2026
SOL
SOL
Research phase
Nov 2017 - Aug 2026  ·  100 USDT starting capital  ·  0.10% fee / side

Historical market data sourced directly from the Binance API.

Robustness
Performance
Trade Dynamics
Time & Streaks
BNB/USDT Price · Strategy Equity
▲ Entry  ·  ▼ Exit  ·  Scroll to zoom  ·  Drag to pan  ·  Hover equity dots for trade details
 Entry
 Exit (profit)
 Exit (loss)
BNB/USDT price
Strategy equity

Monthly P&L

Realized P&L by month (exit date) across all 557 trades

Profitable months: 86 of 106 (81%) across the full backtest period

IS / OOS Split Analysis

Fixed-strategy performance across the common 35%–80% split grid

The frozen strategy is evaluated at 10 chronological split points. The in-sample share increases from 35% to 80% in 5-point steps, while the remaining 65% to 20% is measured as out-of-sample.

This is a fixed-strategy chronological stability analysis: the configuration is unchanged across every split, making the three coin results directly comparable.

✓  All 10 out-of-sample periods profitable, median OOS return +454.87%
Split % IS Return OOS Return IS DD OOS DD IS Trades OOS Trades OOS PF

All 10 OOS splits are positive. The strategy was evaluated on chronological out-of-sample periods with the configuration held fixed across every tested period.

10/10 out-of-sample periods profitable. Ready to get the edge updates?

Join the Discord

Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

Maximum drawdown comparison · Nov 2017 – Aug 2026

Drawdown: Strategy vs. BNB Buy & Hold
Loading BNB/USDT price data…
BNB Buy & Hold — loading…
Strategy — max −18.89%
Bear market periods
B&H Max Drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough
Strategy Max Drawdown
−18.89%
Never exceeded
Historical Max Drawdown vs Buy & Hold
Max drawdown difference (percentage points)

Risk Analysis

Controlled Risk in a Chaotic Market

The chart compares the strategy drawdown against simply holding BNB. The shaded zones mark the three biggest crashes of the last decade: the 2018 bear market, the COVID shock of 2020, and the 2022 Crypto Winter set off by LUNA's collapse.

Holding BNB through these periods meant watching a portfolio drop significantly from its peak. The red area shows how deep that hole was and how long it lasted. For every $10,000 invested near a market top, more than $8,000 could have temporarily disappeared.

The strategy stepped aside during each of the highlighted historical crisis periods. The green line shows the drawdown never exceeded 18.89%, even at its worst. That ceiling held through every crash in the backtest.

Many investors exit near the bottom after a 50-70% decline, realizing losses permanently. A controlled drawdown means staying invested through the full cycle, which is when compounding does its real work.

The bottom line: The red area and the green line tell two different stories about the same market. One is chaos, the other is control. The historical result combines the upside of crypto with a lower historical drawdown than buy-and-hold over the tested period.

Trade Duration

Distribution of hold time per trade – wins vs. losses

Full Trade Log

All 557 trades, newest first

# Entry Date Exit Date Entry Price Exit Price PnL % Capital DD % Duration Result

The Strategy Behind the Edge Updates

Built specifically for BNB/USDT with a proprietary fixed configuration validated across multiple market environments. Implementation details remain confidential while the complete result history is available for review.

  • Market: BNB/USDT spot on Binance, 1H timeframe
  • Execution: Systematic, rules-based entries and exits with trading fees included
  • Disclosure: Strategy logic and parameters are proprietary; trades and measured outcomes are public
  • Backtesting: 8 years of Binance API data, all fees included
  • Validation: Tested across multiple out-of-sample periods - results are CSV-exportable for independent review

Join the Discord

Risk Disclaimer

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown on this page are historical simulations based on past market data. Real trading involves slippage, liquidity gaps, exchange downtime, and other factors not fully captured in backtesting.

Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risk. Prices are highly volatile. The maximum drawdown of this strategy reached −18.89% in the backtest. The Sharpe ratio of 0.25 is a historical risk-adjusted return measure and does not predict future performance.

This is not financial advice. The edge updates and data provided are for informational and educational purposes only. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.

Jan 2021 - Aug 2026  ·  100 USDT starting capital  ·  0.10% fee / side

Historical market data sourced directly from the Binance API.

Robustness
Performance
Trade Dynamics
Time & Streaks
BTC/USDT Price · Strategy Equity
▲ Entry  ·  ▼ Exit  ·  Scroll to zoom  ·  Drag to pan  ·  Hover equity dots for trade details
 Entry
 Exit (profit)
 Exit (loss)
BTC/USDT price
Strategy equity

Monthly P&L

Realized P&L by month (exit date) across all 286 trades

Profitable months: 49 of 65 (75%) across the full backtest period

IS / OOS Split Analysis

Fixed-strategy performance across the common 35%–80% split grid

The frozen strategy is evaluated at 10 chronological split points. The in-sample share increases from 35% to 80% in 5-point steps, while the remaining 65% to 20% is measured as out-of-sample.

This is a fixed-strategy chronological stability analysis: the configuration is unchanged across every split, making the three coin results directly comparable.

✓  All 10 out-of-sample periods profitable, median OOS return +129.91%
Split % IS Return OOS Return IS DD OOS DD IS Trades OOS Trades OOS PF

All 10 OOS splits are positive. The strategy was evaluated on chronological out-of-sample periods with the configuration held fixed across every tested period.

10/10 out-of-sample periods profitable. Ready to get the edge updates?

Join the Discord

Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

Maximum drawdown comparison · Jan 2021 – Aug 2026

Drawdown: Strategy vs. BTC Buy & Hold
Loading BTC/USDT price data…
BTC Buy & Hold — loading…
Strategy — max −9.01%
Bear market periods
B&H Max Drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough
Strategy Max Drawdown
−9.01%
Never exceeded
Historical Max Drawdown vs Buy & Hold
Max drawdown difference (percentage points)

Risk Analysis

Controlled Risk in a Chaotic Market

The chart compares the strategy drawdown against simply holding BTC. The shaded zones mark the three biggest crashes of the last decade: the 2018 bear market, the COVID shock of 2020, and the 2022 Crypto Winter set off by LUNA's collapse.

Holding BTC through these periods meant watching a portfolio drop significantly from its peak. The red area shows how deep that hole was and how long it lasted. For every $10,000 invested near a market top, the majority could have temporarily disappeared.

The result history is shown transparently. The green line shows a maximum measured drawdown of 9.01% during the backtest period.

Many investors exit near the bottom after a 50-70% decline, realizing losses permanently. A controlled drawdown means staying invested through the full cycle, which is when compounding does its real work.

The bottom line: The red area and the green line tell two different stories about the same market. One is chaos, the other is control. The historical result combines the upside of crypto with a lower historical drawdown than buy-and-hold over the tested period.

Trade Duration

Distribution of hold time per trade – wins vs. losses

Full Trade Log

All 286 trades, newest first

# Entry Date Exit Date Entry Price Exit Price PnL % Capital DD % Duration Result

The Strategy Behind the Edge Updates

Built specifically for BTC/USDT with a proprietary fixed configuration validated across multiple market environments. Implementation details remain confidential while the complete result history is available for review.

  • Market: BTC/USDT spot on Binance, 1H timeframe
  • Execution: Systematic, rules-based entries and exits with trading fees included
  • Disclosure: Strategy logic and parameters are proprietary; trades and measured outcomes are public
  • Backtesting: January 2021 to August 2026 Binance data, all fees included
  • Validation: Tested across multiple out-of-sample periods — results are CSV-exportable for independent review

Get Access

Risk Disclaimer

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown on this page are historical simulations based on past market data. Real trading involves slippage, liquidity gaps, exchange downtime, and other factors not fully captured in backtesting.

Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risk. Prices are highly volatile. The maximum drawdown of this strategy reached −9.01%, meaning your capital could lose nearly 9% of its value before recovering. The Sharpe ratio of 0.28 is a historical risk-adjusted return measure and does not predict future performance.

This is not financial advice. The edge updates and data provided are for informational and educational purposes only. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.

Nov 2022 - Aug 2026  ·  100 USDT starting capital  ·  0.10% fee / side

Historical market data sourced directly from the Binance API.

Robustness
Performance
Trade Dynamics
Time & Streaks
ETH/USDT Price · Strategy Equity
▲ Entry  ·  ▼ Exit  ·  Scroll to zoom  ·  Drag to pan  ·  Hover equity dots for trade details
 Entry
 Exit (profit)
 Exit (loss)
ETH/USDT price
Strategy equity

Monthly P&L

Realized P&L by month (exit date) across all 220 trades

Profitable months: loading…

IS / OOS Split Analysis

Fixed-strategy performance across the common 35%–80% split grid

The frozen strategy is evaluated at 10 chronological split points. The in-sample share increases from 35% to 80% in 5-point steps, while the remaining 65% to 20% is measured as out-of-sample.

This is a fixed-strategy chronological stability analysis: the configuration is unchanged across every split, making the three coin results directly comparable.

✓  All 10 out-of-sample periods profitable, median OOS return +118.01%
Split % IS Return OOS Return IS DD OOS DD IS Trades OOS Trades OOS PF

Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

Maximum drawdown comparison · Nov 2022 – Aug 2026

Drawdown: Strategy vs. ETH Buy & Hold
Loading ETH/USDT price data…
ETH Buy & Hold — loading…
Strategy — loading…
B&H Max Drawdown
Worst peak-to-trough
Strategy Max Drawdown
Never exceeded
Historical Max Drawdown vs Buy & Hold
Max drawdown difference (percentage points)

Risk Analysis

Controlled Risk Across Multiple ETH Regimes

The chart compares the strategy drawdown against simply holding ETH. It highlights how the system behaved through strong rallies, deep corrections, and extended sideways periods.

Holding ETH outright exposed capital to full market volatility. The red area shows how severe those peak-to-trough drops became over the test window.

The strategy kept drawdown materially lower. That is the point of the regime-aware structure: adapt entries and exits to market state instead of treating every environment the same.

Trade Duration

Distribution of hold time per trade – wins vs. losses

Full Trade Log

All 220 trades, newest first

# Entry Date Exit Date Entry Price Exit Price PnL % Capital DD % Duration Result

The Strategy Behind the Edge Updates

Built specifically for ETH/USDT with a proprietary fixed configuration validated across multiple market environments. The implementation details remain confidential; the complete result history is published for independent review.

  • Market: ETH/USDT spot on Binance, 1H timeframe
  • Execution: Systematic, rules-based entries and exits with trading fees included
  • Disclosure: Strategy logic and parameters are proprietary; trades and measured outcomes are public
  • Backtesting: Binance API daily prices + full historical trade report
  • Validation: Includes out-of-sample split analysis and full trade log export

Get Access

Risk Disclaimer

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown on this page are historical simulations based on past market data. Real trading involves slippage, liquidity gaps, exchange downtime, and other factors not fully captured in backtesting.

Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risk. Prices are highly volatile. The maximum drawdown of this strategy reached −7.20% in the backtest. The Sharpe ratio of 0.64 is a historical risk-adjusted return measure and does not predict future performance.

This is not financial advice. The edge updates and data provided are for informational and educational purposes only. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.